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二手房房价要止跌了?

  • 2026-03-06 00:41:40
二手房房价要止跌了?
虽然房地产市场已经调整了很多年了，但是去年楼市走成这个样子，也是让人匪夷所思，成交量与房价均出现较大幅度的下跌。
不过物极必反，如此大的跌幅，迟早也会出现反转的，尤其是那些住房市场本就没有存在供大于求的城市，比如说一线城市。
临近年底，去年的12月份与2026年的1月份，一线城市的房地产市场开始出现了一些积极信号，主要表现为二手房成交量不断放量，下面是四大一线城市在2026年1月份二手房市场的表现情况：
北京二手住宅网签量为1.51万套，同比增长20.8%；
上海二手房成交量上涨24.18%；
二手房共计录得6802套，环比增长2.9%，继续在枯荣线（5000套）上方运行；
广州市二手住宅网签套数和面积达到8881套、89.40万平方米，环比分别小幅增长1.07%和2.05%。
若是成交量上涨能够持续的话，将会出现什么现象？
一般来说，楼市成交量变化会先于房价的变化。如果成交量能够持续保持高位运行的话，房价会逐渐突破临界点，继而实现止跌上涨。
而刚发布的2026年1月份的70个大中城市商品住宅销售价格变动情况，似乎也能一定程度说明问题，数据显示二手房房价下跌幅度有收窄迹象，具体数据我们看看：
从发布的数据来看，二手住宅销售价格环比开始有城市是上涨的，即扬州和湛江，环比上涨分别为0.4%和0.3%；另外沈阳的二手住宅销售价格环比与上个月是持平的。要知道，二手住宅销售价格已经是连续多月份是全线下跌的。
同时，也可以去关注一下四大一线城市的二手住宅销售价格变动情况，2026年1月份北上深广二手住宅销售价格环比下跌0.2%、0.4%、0.6%和0.7%，整体也是有收窄的迹象。
二手住宅销售价格环比出现上涨的城市，且整体跌幅呈现收窄的迹象，还是有很大的意义的，毕竟二手房市场更能反映楼市真实的供需情况。
当然，这是不是意味着二手房价快来到临界点了，房价要止跌回涨了？目前这样的判断肯定还是为时尚早，出现这样的现象只能是有变化的迹象，但二手房房价是否真的要止跌回涨了，还需要持续观察接下来的市场表现。
楼市说，专注于楼市的观察与研究，欢迎关注，并设为“星标”。
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  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000502s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=a_mffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.000668s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.005542s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000358s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000719s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000268s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000734s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 475809 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000806s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1777549963 WHERE `id` = 475809 [ RunTime:0.013307s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 66 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000338s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 475809 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001310s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 475809 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001846s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 475809 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.010014s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 475809 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.001065s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 475809 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.021395s ]
0.186116s