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上海二手房真要爆了?

  • 2026-03-20 21:25:34
上海二手房真要爆了?

2026年3月7日，上海新房单日成交242套，上海二手房单日成交1324套，日均成交791套，套均面积77.29m²。单日1324套是这几年单日成交量最高的之一。

日均挂牌318498笔，约31.85万笔，挂牌与实际成交比402:1，去化周期约13.4个月。13.4的去周期时间已经接近供应紧张了。
美国2月新增就业-9.2万，今年降息超过50基点概率较大（看不出美国有什么别的能力在AI趋势下把就业拉回来）。中国央行潘功胜表示，2026年人民银行将实施适度宽松的货币政策，灵活高效地运用降准降息等多种货币政策工具，发挥增量和存量、货币政策和财政政策的集成协同效应。这也是也是降息的策略。所以26年房地产应该会有更多利好。
也不是没有利空，房地产要卖的出去，核心是有人买，如果经济持续恶化那也很难说，比如特朗普说我不活了，就要加50%关税，或者打完伊朗打古巴，打完古巴打朝鲜。那这总统估计就是莽村出来的。
我还是乐观的，特朗普还要中期选举，他今年不太敢干啥影响美国就业和经济的大事。中期之后大概率丢众议院，因为他的关税战引发了大量经济问题。
本文来自网友投稿或网络内容，如有侵犯您的权益请联系我们删除，联系邮箱：wyl860211@qq.com 。

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2026-03-08 上海二手房成交统计

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  140. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/a.mffb.com.cn/vendor/topthink/think-trace/src/Html.php ( 4.42 KB )
  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000984s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=a_mffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.002024s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.003285s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000706s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.002017s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000634s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.001489s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 483318 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001067s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1775610143 WHERE `id` = 483318 [ RunTime:0.014793s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 66 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.002302s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 483318 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.011466s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 483318 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.006426s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 483318 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.004260s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 483318 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.003142s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 483318 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.012822s ]
0.234401s