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关注的二手房有涨价趋势,“追涨”还是“摒牢”?

  • 2026-07-30 18:57:34
关注的二手房有涨价趋势,“追涨”还是“摒牢”?

开始之前

欢迎大家先参与投票

时间来到下半年，小阳春的余温仍在，上海二手房市场止跌回稳的态势非常明显！
但对买家而言，纠结从未停止：身处当下，关注的二手房、小区有涨价的趋势，这个时候，出手怕买贵，再等等怕踏空，到底该观望捡漏，还是果断上车？
我的观点是：
1、目前二手房整体来讲是温和回稳，链家二手房挂牌价涨幅微弱，也没有全面普涨的单边行情基础
 2、经过4个月的高歌猛进，挂牌房源中急售、愿意大幅议价的房东大多已成交，剩余房源让利空间本身偏小，叠加市场信心回暖，二手房捡漏的难度越来越大
3、刚刚过去的5-6月，市场走出淡季不淡的态势；7月进入传统成交淡季，主要是成交量回落，房价并不会明显走低
4、对于投资需求来讲，优先等同户型、板块成交价连续上涨2个月，趋势更稳妥；或者当前房价相对去年12月上浮幅度在接受范围内，也可以择机进场
5、对于刚需自住需求来讲，不用刻意博弈短期涨跌，房产核心价值回归居住属性，市场整体会维持平稳健康走势，刚需契合自身需求、预算合适就可以适时入手，不必过度纠结等待最低点
6、今年是新房解禁大年，大量次新集中入市，供应会突然变多，不排除有资金紧张的房东急售，到时选择更多、议价更友好，大家可以关注起来
即时的二手房网签成交情况，
可以随时点击小胖看房团小程序查看：
欢迎使用AI智能小胖君
输入您的购房需求
它将为您一键生成科学置业报告
快来试试吧~
说一下下半年二手房价格，小胖君的判断是比较平稳的，现在买入大跌或者踏空大涨都不太可能。
我们先来看链家挂牌量价的最新动态：
一句话来讲就是：上海二手房挂牌量持续走低，成交火热+业主惜售支撑价格企稳！
2025年全年上海二手房挂牌量持续冲高突破11万套，市场处于高库存、以价换量阶段
进入2026年趋势彻底反转，挂牌量一路回落至当前的7.67万套，挂牌库存持续收缩
新政后的成交火热叠加挂牌量减少，市场开始向卖方市场倾斜，优质房源房东信心回升，全市挂牌均价止跌回稳，从1月份的5.63万/㎡缓慢回升至6月中旬5.69万/㎡，筑底修复周期正在进行中
我们再来分总价段来看，以300万以内、400-600万、800-1000万三个总价段，来看看，刚需、刚改、改善市场的最新动向：
· 300万以内
最新链家挂牌量28659套，占全市挂牌的37.4%，相较于1月份挂牌量下降约20%；挂牌均价2.82万/m²，今年以来保持回稳态势！
再来看不同环线分布情况：
外环外占比最高，19306万套占比约67%；内环内占比最低，1661套占比约6%
整体来讲，外环外的市场竞争更激烈！
附总价300万以内房源最新挂牌量TOP30名单：
· 400-600万
最新链家挂牌量13356套，占全市挂牌的17.4%，相较于1月份挂牌量下降约7.6%；挂牌均价4.9万/m²，相较于3月份高点，小幅震荡
再来看不同环线分布情况：
外环外占比最高，5789万套占比约43%；内环内占比最低，2299套占比约17%
整体来讲，外环内的竞争更激烈，尤其是中外环间
附总价400-600万房源最新挂牌量TOP30名单：
· 800-1000万
最新链家挂牌量5023套，占全市挂牌的6.55%，相较于1月份挂牌量下降约4.8%；挂牌均价6.54万/m²，今年以来，房价走势相对平稳
再来看不同环线分布情况：
内环内占比最高，1604万套占比约32%；整个外环内占比超7成，中外环间占比最低，855套占比约17%
整体来讲，外环内的竞争更激烈，尤其是内环内
附总价800-1000万房源最新挂牌量TOP30名单：
6月二手房数据已经出炉：全口径成交25158套，去年6月是20774套，等于同比去年增长21%，放在近5年里也是比较出彩的！
热度不只体现在成交数据，二手房带看活跃度同样能直观反映购房者入场意愿，也是大家选房、谈价、判断入手时机很重要的参考依据！
下面小胖君汇总了不同环线最新二手房带看数据，希望能给大家买房一些参考：

最后，你怎么看，欢迎文末留言讨论~

关于更多上海楼市的信息，或者您想和其他购房小伙伴一起咨询讨论，欢迎扫描下方二维码，添加小胖君，加入小胖看房@专属微信群~
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  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.001059s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=a_mffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.002001s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000778s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000718s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.001436s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000593s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.001434s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 545821 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001135s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1785648133 WHERE `id` = 545821 [ RunTime:0.017431s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 66 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000766s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 545821 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001153s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 545821 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001041s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 545821 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.001851s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 545821 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.002239s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 545821 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.004547s ]
0.236341s