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二手房不停降价,是不是可以抄底了?

  • 2026-03-06 01:00:40
二手房不停降价,是不是可以抄底了?
丹爷，最近我看中了新力帝泊湾一套116的三房，谈下来差不多80万左右能买得到，也去看了套正祥文澜锦苑的116平的四房，精装的工抵房差不多85万左右，二手房降价下来价格和新房差不多了，但是我看新房好像降不动了，我是该去抄底二手呢还是买新规，如果是你你会怎么选？
这个问题，每天至少我要回复10多遍，太典型了！所以我今天要一次性说清楚。但凡你也在纠结的刚需朋友，这是满满的干货，请认真看完！看完记得给我点个赞！
我认为老规二手房和新规房比较，唯一的优势就是二手房是现房，但是如果新规房已经交房了，那老规就没有任何优势了，可能价格还会继续下探！
我们就以粉丝提问的新力帝泊湾和正祥这两个差不多价位的房子来做全维度比较，看看到底该怎么选合适？
第一：帝泊湾容积率3.0，116户型是30多层的两梯四户的超。

正祥容积率才1.8，房子就是15-17的小高层，现在小区园林绿化，配套设施，比起以前那不知道好了多少，从居住舒适度来说，肯定选择正祥。

第二：户型对比：帝泊湾的116就是三房

而正祥同样的面积是正规的四房

之前实测过，帝泊湾的得房率87%，如果房价是80万，相当于实得房价是8000元一平，就算买精装总价85万。

正祥得房率是98%，相当于实得面积房价是7400多一平，所以无论怎么算，依然是新规产品的房价是更便宜的，你就是为了贪便宜也买新规新房啊。

第三：最重要的是地段和环境，虽然帝泊湾旁边有学校，但也不是什么顶尖学校，普通学区而已，正祥也一样有学校，帝泊湾附近除了有学校，没有任何配套，只有工厂。

正祥附近，除了有重点中学赣六中还有私立贵族学校文外，有大型的蟠龙公园和杨边公园，有文体艺术中心，家门口有足球青训基地，还有医院，附近也没啥工业，有的就是江。

很明显，这里的板块定位不一样，蟠龙是经开区的区级行政服务中心，这是有文件的，整个经开区优质的配套都在蟠龙，2025年还拼命砸钱在蟠龙搞拆迁，可以知道。

这里价格便宜仅仅的因为开发商太多内卷而已，而且才开发了五六年，很多小区还没入住，目前人气确实差了一点，但是至少可以肯定买这里还有未来可言，房价要是会涨，他也能跟着涨，而很多和这里同等价位的不同板块的老规二手房

2025年5月份的新规文件出来后就形成了明显的分水岭老密高基本都面临被淘汰，价格可能会持续下跌，反弹的概率很低，买到手就是亏，所以是你你会选哪里呢？很多人听了肯定会不高兴，但是我说就是事实啊！

所以如果你真的要我建议，我肯定选择新规产品，而且是有发展的板块和地段，这也是为什么我自己敢把房子买在蟠龙板块的原因，因为我确实很看好这里！
还有什么疑问大家可以在评论区打出来，我会给大家一一回复！
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  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000526s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=a_mffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.000732s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000405s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000305s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000654s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000286s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000725s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 474961 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000429s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1777713167 WHERE `id` = 474961 [ RunTime:0.000685s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 66 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000276s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 474961 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000425s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 474961 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000435s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 474961 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.002902s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 474961 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.005127s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 474961 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.003418s ]
0.099562s