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2026年,将是上海二手房火爆的一年

  • 2026-01-09 06:49:43
2026年,将是上海二手房火爆的一年
    今天有朋友专门发微信问我，房子是不是涨价了，笔者回复并没有，但是有触底横盘得迹象了，量确实不错，价格并没有涨目前。
相信如果你微信里面家过几个房产经纪人得微信，前几天一定看到了上海25年二手房成交25万+的量，创过去四年新高。而且这还是在过去一年的下行市场下的成交量。过去房价连续下跌了三年的时间里，经纪人们都开始不自信了，绝大多数的经纪人不敢再去预测未来房价的涨跌了。笔者之所以说26年的二手房一定火爆基于几点原因。
1：25年下行市场下的25万+的量，一旦触底横盘，哪些担心买了就资产缩水的购房者们，将会上车。
2：目前房地产整体触底的低价和目前购房的政策，让过去原本无法企及的上海置业梦想，成为了可能。
3：上海市场连续八个月的缩盘（二手挂牌量在减少）
在过去的一年里，很多人对地产早就不抱有希望了，但是最近《求是》杂志的发言，让一些人又看到了希望。原文如下说：
其一：房地产金融属性得到官方背。
如果说房子真的仅仅只是用来住的，不在意他的涨跌，在过去三年内，无数业主因为高位买房，相应号召，导致十年，乃至二十年的积蓄一夜之间蒸发。无数业主贷款卖房，黯然离场。
其二：强调房地产是国民重要支柱产业和居民财富，地产大局关乎稳定人民群众的切身利益
 如果一个人在过去高位100万买的房子，贷款70万，首付三十万，房价跌到只有四十万，那就意味着，他目前不仅三十万首付没了，卖房子还倒欠银行四十万。从原来的辛苦存款三十万，变成了现在躺在家里负债三十万。如果有一天他遇到重大变故，需要现金周转过度，将无财可用。
其三：政策力度要符合市场预期，政策要一次性给足
在过去一年的时间里，虽然上海楼市成交量很亮眼，但是过去一年时间里，政策上的影响基本上是微乎其微的。在地产触底横盘的关键时间点《求是》的发文，无异于再一次提振楼市的信心，促进市场早日止跌回稳。
本文来自网友投稿或网络内容，如有侵犯您的权益请联系我们删除，联系邮箱：wyl860211@qq.com 。

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  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000959s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=a_mffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.001049s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000305s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000306s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000502s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000211s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000621s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 459331 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000745s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1772166391 WHERE `id` = 459331 [ RunTime:0.000721s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 66 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000277s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 459331 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000793s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 459331 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000402s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 459331 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.003258s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 459331 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.001278s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 459331 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.001191s ]
0.163286s