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二手房放量上涨的原因找到了,该买还是该卖?

  • 2026-02-09 06:06:32
二手房放量上涨的原因找到了,该买还是该卖?
时间进入2026年，全国一二线城市的二手房市场好像突然大变天了。成交量大幅上涨不说，部分板块的成交价也涨了，有些买家还抱着之前小区最低价基础上再砍一刀的套路出价，结果发现根本砍不动了。
现在一二线城市的二手房市场已经由之前纯纯的买方市场转变了买卖均衡的市场，买卖双方都有了一定的话语权。房叔就拿天津1月10日和1月11日这二天的成交数据来告诉小伙伴们为什么二手房市场突然变天了。
天津二手房1月10日-11日成交前12名区
南开
66套
西青
50套
河东
44套
红桥
35套
河西
60套
滨海
49套
东丽
38套
和平
35套
武清
57套
河北
46套
北辰
36套
津南
35套
二手房放量上涨的真正原因
数据真是个好东西，房叔把1月10日和11日天津二手房的成交数据按区排了一下名次，发现这个名次有些似曾相识的感觉。再想想，这不就是去年三月份天津二手房成交小阳春时候的成交排名吗？只不过河东出了点意外。
天津二手房2025年3月各区成交数据
2025年3月份，天津二手房市场出现了一波成交的小阳春，爆量最主要的原因是家长们为了孩子上学而买学区房。当时市内六区的成交排名是南开、河西、河东、河北、红桥、和平。今年上周末市内六区的成交排名是南开、河西、河北、河东、红桥、和平。
其中仅有河东区因为在年底出台了小学入学锁定二手房三年的政策而排名有所变化，其余五区的排名几乎是一模一样啊。这么一对比，最近天津二手房爆量的真正原因找到了，就是孩子要上小学的家长们下场了。
肯定有小伙伴问了，为什么这届的家长这么着急，把买房这么重大的经济行为整整提前了二个月？因为我们中国最重要的传统节日春节啊！今年的春节特别晚，要到2月17日才过年，而且放假时间特别长，足足放够九天假。等房产中介们回来开工就得三月份了，有些家长为了稳妥起见，就打了提前量，一进入2026年就开始买学区房了。于是有了一二线城市有了二手房放量上涨。

放量上涨该买吗？

如果你今年就需要一套学区房给孩子上学用，那么现在确实应该出手了。毕竟选房、看房、办手续都需要时间，千万别因为自己下手晚了，而耽误了孩子上学，这可是大事啊。
如果你现在有房住，孩子也没有学区房的需求，只是想找个合适的机会换房改善居住条件，那么现在不是最好的下手时机。二手房经过最近的放量，低于市场价的房源已经被扫得差不多了，而且也不好砍价了。当然真碰上急用钱砸价卖房的，该出手时就出手。

放量上涨该卖吗？

去年天津二手房三月份的小阳春之后，四月上旬也保持了比较高的成交量，之后二手房的成交量回归常态。今年三月份的二手房成交还会有一波放量，但因为一月份提前释放了一部分成交，成交量应该不及去年。
如果你碰到了按市场价出价的买家，应该是个不错的出手机会了，当然还是一房一议，大思路是这样。
你们说现在该买还是该卖呢？
本文来自网友投稿或网络内容，如有侵犯您的权益请联系我们删除，联系邮箱：wyl860211@qq.com 。

2025年1月11日-1月12日 海宁二手房房源点评

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  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.001085s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=a_mffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.001755s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000737s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000658s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.001280s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000596s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.001434s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 461045 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001162s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1771834886 WHERE `id` = 461045 [ RunTime:0.006968s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 66 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.004336s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 461045 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001368s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 461045 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.001165s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 461045 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.001662s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 461045 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.002158s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 461045 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.000769s ]
0.197174s