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新房探底、二手房企稳 房地产进入结构优化阶段

  • 2026-08-12 02:29:37
新房探底、二手房企稳 房地产进入结构优化阶段
8月7日，普睿数智云产品发布暨2026年半年度市场总结与下半年展望活动在上海举行。本次活动上，普睿数智董事长丁祖昱指出，2026年上半年房地产市场并非简单进入总量恢复阶段，而是进入结构优化阶段：核心城市、核心板块率先释放市场韧性，企业竞争逻辑正从规模扩张转向能力竞争。市场方面，丁祖昱认为，上半年呈现出新房探底、二手房企稳，价格降速放缓的趋势。数据显示，全国50个重点城市上半年新房成交环比微增1%，同比跌幅收窄至11%；上半年二手房成交面积同比、环比分别增13%和22%，规模创近四年新高；上半年一二手房价降速放缓，二季度环比止跌城市数量逐月增加。二季度核心城市二手房价止跌明显、环比普遍回升，上半年环比跌幅大幅收窄。土地方面，丁祖昱指出，土地规模收缩，核心城市稀缺宅地竞争激烈。上半年300城土地成交面积、金额同比分别降22%和29%，二线城市规模萎缩最突出；京沪杭成交金额领先，广深增幅显著。“在企业端，100家房企上半年投资拿地金额累计同比降35%，仍处近五年低位。拿地前10房企投资节奏紧跟一二线城市供应规模。”丁祖昱说。普睿数智云跟踪的全国重点50城数据显示，7月新房成交环比回落、二手房成交“三连降”，但中枢上行，多数城市累计同比正增长，市场整体仍处于底部确认阶段。丁祖昱预计，市场在7月—8月呈现季节性下行、但“金九银十”会回升、11月—12月则保持平稳。在销售端，城市、板块、项目之间及其内部会分化；房企投资除了重点地块热度上升外，整体规模和溢价率将呈现平稳态势。在此背景下，丁祖昱认为，当前房地产市场已进入“产品力竞争”阶段，高端项目依靠稀缺资源建立优势，改善项目需通过差异化体验满足复杂需求，刚需项目则强化性价比与空间效率。“未来，企业应聚焦核心城市与重点板块，加强客户研究，把握商业不动产REITs与存量运营等新机会，同时以数据和AI持续提升数字化能力。真正匹配客户需求的产品，将成为市场竞争的关键。”丁祖昱说。诚然，当前，中国房地产行业正在经历从规模增长向精细化运营转型的重要阶段。随着市场环境变化，企业对于城市判断、投资决策、资产运营和经营管理能力提出更高要求，数据与智能技术正在成为推动行业发展的重要基础设施。全国政协常委、民建中央原副主席周汉民在现场表示，房地产行业正处于由高速增长转向高质量发展的关键阶段，核心发展目标已从追求规模、速度转向品质、效率与可持续发展。数字化是行业高质量发展的必答题，需贯穿规划、建造、营销、运营全生命周期，借鉴上海“一网统管、一网通办”经验，推动企业向运营商、城市服务商转型。他强调，要多方协同筑牢数字底座、打破数据孤岛，培育复合型数字人才，加快数据中台与智能建造落地，以数字化赋能行业创造美好生活。中国房地产业协会副会长兼秘书长张其光认为，我国房地产已经步入存量优化时代，6月二手房交易占总交易量比重突破50%，行业动力、定价逻辑发生深刻改变。市场深度分化之下，企业告别经验驱动，数据已经成为投资拿地、产品定位的核心依据。

                                                  来源：证券时报

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  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000959s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=a_mffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.001404s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.009357s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.011903s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.001730s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.003996s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.001892s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 556065 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.026389s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1786489098 WHERE `id` = 556065 [ RunTime:0.007774s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 66 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000670s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 556065 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.009151s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 556065 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.010620s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 556065 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.028937s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 556065 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.002200s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 556065 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.004110s ]
0.296272s