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大幅缩量!稳了三个月的二手房,撑不住了?!

  • 2026-06-09 18:00:42
大幅缩量!稳了三个月的二手房,撑不住了?!
01.
没想到，核心区次新缩量来的如此之快。
近期，江南岸的世纪城、亚运村二手成交快去下滑。据悉，在5.27-6.2期间，世纪城与亚运村加起来仅成交了6套。
位于世纪城的御虹府成交2套，一套11号楼2楼，面积约103㎡，成交总价430万，单价约4.17万/㎡。
还有一套位于3号楼，面积同样是103㎡，中间楼层，总价491万，折合单价约4.77万/㎡，相比去年夏天，下降了约50万。
潮展云起也成交两套，一套位于2号楼，建面约188㎡，总价1080万；2月末成交的同面积房源，1122万的总价，跌了40万左右。
还有一套在楼王，面积约199㎡，总价1130万；相比5月份楼下的11楼，又让了50万左右。
亚运村的亚奥城2号楼成交一套低楼层房源，位于3楼东边套，面积约123㎡，总价630万。
今年以来，123㎡3楼的房子共成交了3套，另外两套总价分别为630万和638万，基本持平。
很明显能看出，从5月末进入6月以来，目前看量是快速下降了，但价格基本保持不变。
如有二手、新房购房需求
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02.
当然，目前缩量还不能说明什么，毕竟，后续市场这几个信号是不能忽视的。
首先，土地段的供应控制的非常好。
2026年前5个月，杭州才出让了18宗地，加上近期挂牌的4宗，也就22宗。加之6月份还有4次出让，也就是11宗地，整个上半年，仅仅出让33宗。
对比去年同期，也就才一半而已。供应端的严控，对于整个二手市场，就是最大的利好。
像之前的勾庄板块，在大波新房供应后，果断停止供应，让后续次新价格维持的不错；当然，还有艮北等板块，都是相类似的典范。
其次，来自一级市场的刺激。
虽然在供应端遭到锐减，但6月出让的15宗地，质量相当不错。儿保地块等，在一定程度上，维持整体市场的热度。
那对于二手市场而言，也算是一种信心上的支撑。
03.
接下来的3个月，对于二手市场来讲，应该是最重要的。
一方面，二手市场能否真的筑底，答案就在后续这3个月内。
如今核心区的次新房已经有筑底的信号了，接下来最重要的部分就是刚需市场。
我们知道，3-5月期间，刚需成交是支撑这波二手房稳定的关键。所以后续几个月刚需还能否继续进场，是我们需要重点关注的。
另一方面，重建市场预期管理。
从3月至5月，二手成交一直稳定保持在9000套以上，在量价上已经保持相对稳定了。
如果后续依旧能保持不错的成交量，那么这么多年来失去的预期，似乎被捡回来了。
更关键一点，这个量价稳定时在政策脱敏时期完成的，这对于预期的重新建立至关重要。
你们觉得，二手市场后续还能维稳吗？
如有二手、新房购房需求
请扫码咨询
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  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000888s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=a_mffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.001314s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000792s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.004271s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.001356s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.009263s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.001531s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 532683 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000957s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1781033767 WHERE `id` = 532683 [ RunTime:0.009519s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 66 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000610s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 532683 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000963s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 532683 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003066s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 532683 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.001936s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 532683 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.001732s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 532683 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.001826s ]
0.182544s