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上海二手房,又要破记录了

  • 2026-02-09 06:51:25
上海二手房,又要破记录了

截至2026.1.21，1月份二手成交14791套。
还剩下7个工作日+3个周末，预估还能有7500套成交。
14791+7500=22291
牛掰啊！
1月份也要2.2万套。
这就意味着，年底连续3个月，成交都站上了2万套。
堪称新纪录了。
所以啊，有点搞不懂了。
大家都说市场差，怎么上海的购房者都“发疯了”去买房。
难道是为了在过年前都把房子买好吗？
在我看来，只有两种可能。
第一种可能，明年开春后，金三银四的购买力提前释放。
第二种可能，真的是市场上有购买力，等到这个时候入场了。
我下意识还是认为第二种可能性更大。
因为市场往往都有跟风心理，11月超越金九银十那一刻起，就有朋友来问我要不要上车了。
市场上原先一直在持币观望的买房人，终于按捺不住了。
还有一部分拆迁拆出来的购买力，也直接或间接流入到二手市场，所以300万以下的老破小，还在大量成交。
最重要的当然还是房价，回调到了更加合理的区间。
不排除部分板块/楼盘，仍然在去水分的状态，但相比2022-2023年房价高点，已经安全多了。
原先只能买两房，现在可以买三房；
原先这只能买老房子，现在可以看次新；
原先只能买外围，现在可以进市区……
名义上虽然大家还在消费降级，其实在买房这件事上，大家却在经历前所未有的“消费升级”。
还有政策不断打开预期，意味着下跌空间和速度，都有大手在把控。
高层不断释放积极信号:
降息预期，居民增收，补贴消费，促进物价合理回升，更积极的财政政策，更宽松的货币政策……
方方面面，都在意味着2026年是放水的一年。
同时也是财富资产大洗牌后一年。
根据宇宙守恒定律，接水的池子就这么大就这么几个，一定会有水流到楼市的池子。
聪明的资金已经在启动了，各位准备好了吗？
2026年你买不买房？

我是随思猫

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  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000410s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=a_mffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.000668s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.003554s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000286s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000513s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000190s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000520s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 464333 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000358s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1771141409 WHERE `id` = 464333 [ RunTime:0.006130s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 66 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.003616s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 464333 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000501s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 464333 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.004832s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 464333 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.001915s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 464333 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.003258s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 464333 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.043665s ]
0.159123s