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2026-2-3【需求周报】上海二手房周度定金回升,带看回落

  • 2026-02-03 10:23:24
2026-2-3【需求周报】上海二手房周度定金回升,带看回落

作者主要来自对过去30年上海房产走势复盘与总结，形成了最重要的是两个体系，即判断体系与跟踪体系。

在之前的文章有详细介绍：

上海房产投资框架之判断体系与背后逻辑

上海房产投资框架之跟踪体系

作者会在本公众号和小红书（小红书号：_潜龙勿用_）每周和每月同步更新头部中介的带看量，定金量，挂牌量，以及挂牌的涨价比例

同时会不定期的分享对全球房价的复盘总结和观点更新，欢迎订阅。

带看，定金与网签数据

上海头部中介的周度二手房带看量和定金量数据，其领先网签量0.5-2个月，在作者的判断体系中，我们已知上海二手房网签成交量的趋势领先二手房成交价至少3-6个月，因而通过跟踪头部中介（在上海的成交市占率25%左右）的带看量和定金量的走势，可推测后续网签成交量的走势，从而对成交价走势进行预判。

即按照时间先后顺序，带看量=》定金量=》网签成交量=》成交价；    

本文来自网友投稿或网络内容，如有侵犯您的权益请联系我们删除，联系邮箱：wyl860211@qq.com 。

【熊猫地产每周趣闻】这个租客,第一眼让房东觉得自己捡到了宝.

除了房产和存款,你还能留给孩子什么?

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  140. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/a.mffb.com.cn/vendor/topthink/think-trace/src/Html.php ( 4.42 KB )
  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000583s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=a_mffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.000885s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000391s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.003445s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000607s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000216s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000692s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 469486 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000857s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1770152278 WHERE `id` = 469486 [ RunTime:0.009141s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 66 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000560s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 469486 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000602s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 469486 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.006083s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 469486 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.001467s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 469486 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.000926s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 469486 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.003675s ]
0.116544s