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地产,大拐点就是2026年!

  • 2026-02-03 23:19:12
地产,大拐点就是2026年!
大家想过没有，今年的房地产是复苏的元年。
不像以前只是口头鼓励，目前是真金白银的抄底了，上海已经开始正式抄底老破了，北京也开始了，大家觉得市场有很多房子，实际上，有很多房子，与你买房需求完全不冲突。
1、大家的衣柜里面很多衣服，不需要你买衣服了？
很多人，永远不会清楚需求与存量的关系其实不大，以前的家电市场都是存量的情况下，再次创造需求。以电视为例，人人都有电视了，大家就不需要买电视了吗？
大家的手机、家电、衣服、汽车等等是因为用坏了才换。为什么，同样也是商品的房子，人人都觉得必须住坏了换房？
小凡是农村的孩子，90年代的时候，家家都建大平房，等到2000年之后，开始流行二层楼房了，之前的大平房有些只建了3年就推到重建了。
人，对居住的需求永远在提升，当别人都住楼房了，你还住平房就是需求得不到满足了，这种需求不一定是物质层面，也有可能是精神层面。
以前，黑白电视机人人都有了，市场开始投入彩电，等大家都买彩电了，市场又开始投入液晶电视，新的产品永远比旧的好……
2、其实，城里面也是同样被房子套路着。
80后，是睡大桥洞长大的吗？他们的父母辛苦一辈子的积蓄买了一套步梯房，等还完房贷的时候，发现市场开始流行电梯房了。
结果，自己的孩子在婚恋市场就是没有电梯房就是被歧视。小凡有个高中同学，就是为了满足相亲的需求，把步梯房卖了换电梯房。
人人都有电梯房的时候，市场开始流行低密度、高绿率化的改善住宅了。大家有兴趣去新建的楼盘看看，特别是2025年5月1日的新规后的房子。
现在，负公摊，低密度，隔音，绿化等等，让你的感觉就是自己目前拥有的高层住宅就像上世纪的产物了。
大家目前能忍受不换房，无非你兜里没钱，但是总会有人收入增加吧，他们会换房，而市场的新房数量又少，你觉得房价还能跌？
3、库存，肉眼可见减少了。
大家没有发现，开发商都倒闭了很多，你的城市已经看不到几个正在开工的楼盘了，只是因为你目前不想买房没有察觉。
如果，只要有你买房的念头了，你会发现市场上面可以给你挑选的房子几乎没有了，不是些清库存的存量房，就是稀稀疏疏的新建的改善房。
当你持币想买房的时候，当大多数人都想买房的时候，你会发现市场的供应又断档了，与历史上面的周期又何其相似，大家亢奋买房，开发商亢奋拿地，之后房价下跌，开发商亏损，大家不拿地……
那么，我们为什么不能相信2026年是拐点呢？
本文来自网友投稿或网络内容，如有侵犯您的权益请联系我们删除，联系邮箱：wyl860211@qq.com 。

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  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000723s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=a_mffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.000795s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.000401s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000781s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000594s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000187s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000569s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 469961 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000511s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1770152282 WHERE `id` = 469961 [ RunTime:0.000977s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000217s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 469961 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000508s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 469961 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.010823s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 469961 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.030872s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 469961 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.019011s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 469961 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.006591s ]
0.146047s