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央行8000亿“精准放水”:上海地产融资+去化双轮驱动

  • 2026-02-05 11:41:05
央行8000亿“精准放水”:上海地产融资+去化双轮驱动
2月4日，央行开展8000亿元3个月买断式逆回购+750亿元7天逆回购，单日投放8750亿元，创历史新高，对冲到期后净投放1000亿元。
上海银行间同业拆放利率（Shibor）隔夜品种下行5BP至1.82%，银行资金成本显著降低，直接打通房企融资“堵点”，为地产市场注入中期流动性“活水”。
一、置换提速，发债降本
• 本次央行8750亿投放，中期流动性直达地产端。权威数据显示，上海1月二手房成交2.28万套，创五年同期新高，连续三月破2.2万套。
• 房企境内债券发行成本下降0.2-0.3个百分点，2月发债规模预计达300亿元。
• 叠加浦东、静安、徐汇二手房收储+以旧换新政策落地，房票监管倒逼置换需求释放，核心区新房去化周期缩短1.2个月，一二手联动效应凸显。
二、核心资产抗周期，2026年迎修复
• 百呈认为，此次流动性宽松并非无差别大规模放水，而是精准支持地产合理融资需求与核心优质资产，重点支持房企发债、保交楼及上海等一线城市的良性循环。
• 上海核心区商办资本化率稳定在5.2%，一季度大宗交易预计达500亿元，外资增配意愿持续提升。
• 内环内、前滩等核心资产保值性凸显，刚需与改善需求同步释放，上海地产已从“以价换量”转向“量价企稳”，2026年将是底部确认后的修复元年。

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上海下场收购二手房!北京楼市:昌平歇甲顶流来了!国贤府PARK测评:三轨交+ 90% 得房率,78平三居参考图曝光!

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  139. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/a.mffb.com.cn/runtime/temp/cbe9940b986bd319e8e4ad9d69892652.php ( 11.98 KB )
  140. /yingpanguazai/ssd/ssd1/www/a.mffb.com.cn/vendor/topthink/think-trace/src/Html.php ( 4.42 KB )
  1. CONNECT:[ UseTime:0.000997s ] mysql:host=127.0.0.1;port=3306;dbname=a_mffb;charset=utf8mb4
  2. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `fenlei` [ RunTime:0.000830s ]
  3. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 0 [ RunTime:0.006078s ]
  4. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `fid` = 63 [ RunTime:0.000461s ]
  5. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000953s ]
  6. SELECT * FROM `set` [ RunTime:0.000210s ]
  7. SHOW FULL COLUMNS FROM `article` [ RunTime:0.000769s ]
  8. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` = 471086 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000446s ]
  9. UPDATE `article` SET `lasttime` = 1770272545 WHERE `id` = 471086 [ RunTime:0.010458s ]
  10. SELECT * FROM `fenlei` WHERE `id` = 65 LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000525s ]
  11. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 471086 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000704s ]
  12. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` > 471086 ORDER BY `id` ASC LIMIT 1 [ RunTime:0.000717s ]
  13. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 471086 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10 [ RunTime:0.000987s ]
  14. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 471086 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 10,10 [ RunTime:0.003122s ]
  15. SELECT * FROM `article` WHERE `id` < 471086 ORDER BY `id` DESC LIMIT 20,10 [ RunTime:0.002672s ]
0.175521s